Mega Expert tells other experts: You’re probably wrong

Alex Hernandez is reviewing Nobel-winner Dan Kahneman on Dropout Nation:

For three chapters in Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman argues that professional expertise is largely an illusion:

• Expert judgment is notoriously unreliable.

• Statistical predictions are consistently more accurate than expert ones in a wide variety of fields.  Professionals with strong short-term recognition rarely recognize their own limits in making long-term predictions.

• Expert judgment can only be acquired in stable, predictable environments where professionals learn patterns from prolonged practice and ample feedback.

….Khaneman notes that his research is met with hostility and disbelief by professionals — and then usually ignored.

 

-Guestblogger Mike Goldstein

Posted on Jul 27, 2012 @ 11:58am

One thought on “Mega Expert tells other experts: You’re probably wrong

  1. Mathis Evans

    My brother suggested I might like this website.
    He was totally right. This post truly made my day. You can not imagine
    just how much time I had spent for this info! Thanks!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


1 + seven =